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UEFA Nations League - England vs Italy

England vs Italy match preview & prediction 

Match preview

In a repeat of EURO 2020 final fixture, England will be looking for their first Nations League victory when they welcome Italy to the Midlands on Saturday night.

The match will be played behind closed doors following the crowd trouble surrounding their last meeting at EURO 2020 final at Wembley last summer, which ended with the Azzurri winning on penalties.

Gareth Southgate’s side has struggled in this month with a surprising loss in Hungary followed by a late draw in Germany to salvage their first point in the group.

Italy leads the group after defeating Hungary in midweek and will hope to consolidate on their lead when they visit England.

England vs Italy H2H

England and Italy have faced off  fourteen times with England only winning twice and Italy winning 9 times.

England14 MATCHES (3 DRAW)Italy
  • Games over 2.5 goals – 5 /1 4
  • Both teams scored – 7/1 4

England vs Italy form guide

England’s Last 5 – WWWLD

07/06/22Germany1 – 1          England
04/06/22Hungary1- 0        England
29/03/22England 3- 0      Ivory Coast
26/03/22England 2 – 1        Switzerland
15/11/21San Marino  0- 10        England

Italy’s Last 5 -LWLDW

07/06/22 Italy2 – 1Hungary
04/06/22Italy1 – 1Germany
01/06/22Italy0 – 3Argentina
29/03/22Turkey2 – 3Italy
24/03/22Italy0- 1North Macedonia

Key facts 

  • England has scored 16 goals and conceded 3  in their last 5 matches 
  • 3 out of England’s last 5  games ended with Over 2.5 Goals 
  • 2 out of 5 England’s last 5 games Both Teams Scored
  • Italy has scored 6 goals and conceded 8 in their last 5 matches
  • 3 out of 5 Italy’s last 5  games ended with Over 2.5 Goals
  • 2 out of 5 Italy’s last 5 games Both Teams Scored

England vs Italy team news

England midfielder Kalvin Phillips was forced to withdraw from the Germany tie due to a collision with Schlotterbeck, which Southgate termed as a “serious dead leg,” and it is tough to see the Leeds United man playing on Saturday.

Southgate is also hoping that Phil Foden will have a negative COVID-19 test in time to return to the team, as with James Justin (calf) too. Although Fikayo Tomori’s hamstring injury may keep him out for a little longer, Trent Alexander-Arnold has been left out to take a well-deserved break.

Meanwhile, Italy has let Leonardo Bonucci and Andrea Belotti leave for vacation ahead of Saturday’s encounter, but the visitors have no new concerns against Hungary.

Alessandro Florenzi, Francesco Acerbi, and Gianluca Scamacca were all significant absences from the squad on matchday two, and Mancini is certain to make further changes, particularly in the midfield.

England vs Italy prediction

Taking a critical look at the precedence of both teams, as experts we’ll be picking: 

  • Italy to win by 1  margin  @ 5.55
  • Both teams to score -Yes @ 2.04

 *DISCLAIMER: Odds are subject to change

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